GTU Civil Engineering (Semester 4)
Numerical & Statistical Methods for Civil Engineering
December 2015
Total marks: --
Total time: --
INSTRUCTIONS
(1) Assume appropriate data and state your reasons
(2) Marks are given to the right of every question
(3) Draw neat diagrams wherever necessary


1(a)i Two students x and y work independently on a problem. The probability that x will solve it is 3/4 and the probability that y will solve it is 2/3. What is the probability that problem will be solved?
2 M
1(a)ii Evaluate the integral \[\int ^1_{-1}\dfrac{dx}{1+x^2}\] by Gaussian integration two point formula.
2 M
1(a)iii Using Taylor's series method, find y(1.1) correct to four decimal places, given that \[\dfrac{dy}{dx}=xy^{1/3}\], y(1) = 1.
3 M
1(b)i Obtain the binomial distribution for which mean is 10 and variance is 5.
2 M
1(b)ii With the usual notation show that Δ = ehD-1.
2 M
1(b)iii Find the \[\sqrt{10}\] correct to three decimal places by using Newton-Raphson iterative method.
3 M

2(a) A book contains 100 misprints distributed randomly throughout its 100 pages. What is the probability that a page observed at random contains at least two misprints. Assume Poisson Distribution.
7 M
Solved any one question from Q.2(b) & Q.2(c)
2(b) State Bayes's theorem. In a bolt factory, three machines A, B and C manufacture 25%, 35% and 40% of the total product respectively. Of these outputs 5%, 4% and 2% respectively, are defective bolts. A bolt is picked up at random and found to be defective. What are the probabilities that it was manufactured by machines A, B and C?
7 M
2(c) What are the properties of Binomial Distribution? The average percentage of failure in a certain examination is 40. What is the probability that out of a group of 6 candidates, at least 4 passed in examination?
7 M

Solved any one question from Q.3 & Q.4
3(a) Calculate the Mean, Median and Mode for the following data:

Class

interval

50-53 53-56 56-59 59-62 62-65 65-68
Frequency 3 8 14 30 36 28

Class

interval

68-71 71-74 74-77
Frequesncy 16 10 5
7 M
3(b) Calculate the coefficient of correlation and obtain the lines of regression for the following:
X 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Y 9 8 10 12 11 13 14 16 15
7 M

4(a) From the following regression equations
8x-10y=-66, 40x-18y=214 and variance of x=9
Find (i) Average values of x and y.
(ii) Correlation Coefficient between the two variables.
(iii) Standard Deviation of y.
7 M
4(b) Fit a second degree parabola y = ax2 + bx + c in least square sense for the following data:
x 1 2 3 4 5
y 10 12 13 16 19
7 M

Solved any one question from Q.5 & Q.6
5(a) Explain False position method for finding the root of the equation f(x) = 0.Use this method to find the root of an equation x = e-x correct to up to three decimal places.
7 M
5(b) Explain Euler's method for solving first order ordinary differential equation. Hence use this method, find y (2) for \[\dfrac{dy}{dx}=x+2y\] with y (1) = 1.
7 M

6(a) Determine the interpolating polynomial of degree three by using Lagrange's interpolation for the following data. Also find f(2)
x -1 0 1 3
f(x) 2 1 0 -1
7 M
6(b) Explain Bisection method for solving an equation f(x) = 0. Find the real root of equation x2 - 4x - 10 = 0 by using this method correct to three decimal places
7 M

Solved any one question from Q.7 & Q.8
7(a) Apply Runge-Kutta fourth order method to calculate y(0.2) and y(0.4) given
\[\dfrac{dy}{dx}=y-\dfrac{2x}{y}\] , y(0) = 1.
7 M
7(b) Solve the following system of equations by Gauss elimination method with partial pivoting. 2x1+2x2+x3=6,   4x1+2x2+3x3=4,   x1+x2+x3=0
7 M

8(a) Compute values of f(0.12) and f(0.40) using suitable interpolation formula for the following data:
x 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 0.30
f(x) 0.1003 0.1511 0.2027 0.2553 0.3093
7 M
8(b) Derive Trapezoidal rule and Evaluate \[\int ^{1.3}_{0.5}{e^{x^2}}dx\] by using Simpson's 1/3rd rule.
7 M



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